The Decline in Homicides: Telling It My Way
November 26, 2007
Anyone wondering why the Police Commissioner of New York City is regarded
as the influential man in law enforcement need go no farther than Friday’s
front page of the New York Times and its article, headlined: “City
Homicides Still Dropping, To Under 500. Lowest Toll in Decades.”
Recent police commissioners, who have lowered the crime city’s
crime rate, have been able to convey the story of their successes, in
some cases by rewriting history, in others or by conveniently forgetting
large slabs of it.
A decade ago, between 1994 and 1996, Police Commissioner Bill Bratton
and Mayor Rudolph Giuliani convinced New York City’s generally
pliant media that the decline in homicides — the bellwether crime
that cannot be covered up or dummied down — was greater under them
than at any other time in the department’s history.
They credited COMPSTAT, the revolutionary idea of Bratton’s top
aide, the late, great Jack Maple. COMPSTAT, they said, had made commanders
accountable by forcing them to track crime trends and pro-actively attack
crime problems, not merely react as the NYPD had done for too many years..
After Giuliani fired Bratton in 1996, the mayor and Bratton’s
successor Howard Safir convinced the media that homicides were declining
even faster under Safir than they had under Bratton. Giuliani began referring
to Safir as “the greatest police commissioner in New York City’s
history.”
In 2001, Giuliani and Safir’s successor Bernie Kerik touted the
continued decline of homicides as evidence of Kerik’s prowess.
Despite Kerik’s indictment earlier this month, Giuliani still cites
the city’s lower homicide rate to justify his choice of Kerik for
police commissioner.
Where does all this leave current commissioner Ray Kelly? Well, back
in the early Giuliani years, Giuliani and Bratton mocked his crime-fighting
efforts.
In 1990, under Giuliani’s predecessor David Dinkins, homicides
had risen to 2245 and remained above 2000 for the next two years. Even
after homicides began to fall in 1993 after Kelly had been commissioner
for a year, Giuliani and Bratton’s top aides belittled Kelly’s
philosophy of “community policing.” They referred to it
as “social work.”
One of the reasons Giuliani fired Kelly was his inability to explain
how he would lower the crime rate. Kelly has never forgiven him. Nor
has he forgiven anyone else for not stating, categorically and unequivocally,
that it was under him that homicides in New York City began to decline..
It took fourteen years but Kelly has finally lived to see his story
told the way he wants it, and on the most influential piece of media
real estate— the New York Times’ front page. Here from last
Friday, is the Times’ interpretation of the falling homicide rate,
which must make Kelly beam:
“Homicides began falling in the early 1990s, when Raymond W. Kelly
first served as police commissioner, and plummeted further under subsequent
commissioners. Mr. Kelly returned to serve under Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg
in 2002, the first year there were fewer than 600 homicides. There were
587 that year, down from 649 in the previous year.”