Police Shooting Incidents: The NYPD’s New Math
January 8, 2007
The NYPD must be desperate in attempting to portray itself as the soul
of restraint, following the 50-bullet fatal police shooting of Sean Bell.
It is now applying a kind of new math, one not taught in any school.
Last Thursday, the day Police Commissioner Ray Kelly announced the
Rand Corporation would review the department’s weapons training
and procedures, Deputy Commissioner for Public Information Paul Browne
handed out to reporters at One Police Plaza a 10-point paper entitled, “Police
Shooting Incidents.”
Here are the ten points.
l.“There were 13 fatal police shootings
in 2006, compared to 9 in 2005.”
OK, Point One is pretty straightforward. It’s all downhill from
here.
2. “The 9 fatal shootings in 2005
was the lowest number since 1973, when there were 54 [a decrease
of 83 per cent.]”
Does this mean that the 54 fatal police shootings in the year 1973 was
the second lowest on record? That’s what the sentence sounds like.
3.“During the 1990’s, there
was an average of 25 fatal police shootings per year. Since 2002,
it has averaged 12 per year.”
Uh oh. That would seem to contradict Point Two, no?
4.“In 2005, the rate of fatal police
shootings per 1,000 was .25, the lowest rate since 1973 when it was
1.82 [a decrease of 86 per cent].”
Your Humble Servant makes no claim to be a rocket scientist.
But can someone explain in English what those numbers mean?
5.“Compared to 1994, when there
were 30 fatal police shootings at a rate of .99 per thousand officers,
the 13 fatalities in 2006 at a rate a .36 per thousand officers represents
a decrease of 57 per cent in the number and 64 per cent in the rate.”
What? Is there anyone out there who understands this?
6.“Based on a survey of 9 large
American cities, New York has had the lowest rate of fatal police
shootings per thousand offices each year from 2002-2005.”
Is this the same survey that led Browne to claim that New York had fewer
fatal police shootings than L.A., Houston, Philadelphia, Chicago and
Miami in 2006? Miami police chief John Timoney says Miami had no fatal
police shootings in 2006.
7.“As of December 31, 2006, the
number of officers involved in shooting incidents [155] was down
7 per cent from 2005 [167] and down 54 per cent from 1997 [334]”
What is the significance of these figures? Is there a reason that 1997
was selected as a comparison?