Revising the numbers
November 18, 2005
Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s proudest boast during
his successful mayoral campaign turns out to be wrong.
His claim – that New York is the nation’s
safest large city – is based on outdated FBI statistics. Even in
its own crime report, the Bureau acknowledges the data is misleading.
Bloomberg’s boast was based on the FBI’s
Uniform Crime Report for 2004. But that report states the crime index
Bloomberg used was discontinued in June 2004, for lack of relevance. Or,
as the report says, “In recent years the crime index …has
not been a true indicator of the degree of criminality.”
The old crime index gave equal weight to such non-violent
crimes as burglary or larceny as to murder, assault, rape and robbery.
The FBI report says that the non-violent category of larceny – theft
– makes up 59.4 per cent of all reported crime and “the sheer
volume of those offenses overshadows more serious but less frequently
committed offenses” such as rape and murder.
While Bloomberg totaled all these crimes together,
a more accurate gauge of safety in any city is purely violent crime, says
an FBI official, who pointed out which large American cities are by this
measure safer than New York.
In fact, the total of violent crimes – which
includes homicide, assault, non-negligent manslaughter, rape and robbery
– shows that New York comes out not first but fourth, which still
isn’t bad.
San Diego, with a population of 1,281,366, is the
nation’s safest largest city, with 6,774 violent crimes, including
62 murders, giving it a rate of 529 violent crimes per 100,000 people.
San Antonio – population 1,235,128 –
is second with 7,846 violent crimes, including 94 murders, putting its
rate at 635 violent crimes per 100,000 population.
Phoenix – population 1,428,973 – had
9,465 violent crimes, including 202 murders, making its rate 662 violent
crimes per 100,000 population..
New York – population 8,101,321 – had
55,688 violent crimes, including 570 murders, giving it a rate of 687
per 100,000 population.
Mayor Bloomberg’s spokesman Bob Lawson says,
”According to the FBI’s Uniformed Crime Report for 2004, New
York City remains the safest big city in America in overall crime.”
Rewriting history.
For the past decade, Mike Bosak, a retired sergeant and amateur historian,
has dedicated himself to researching the stories of 19th century police
officers who died in the line of duty but were never recognized.
On Tuesday, the police department honored 77 police
officers he discovered, together with another 23 the department’s
Personnel Bureau found. The department invited the officers’ families
to a ceremony where their names were added to the Wall of Honor at One
Police Plaza.